|
How to read this
Every idea has a thesis, a contract, and a plan
Every trade idea below includes the current price, the contract we're watching, our ideal entry, price target, and stop level. All prices as of May 30, 2026. We watch these live on stream every morning — if and when they set up, you'll see us enter in real time.
Not financial advice. These are educational trade ideas only. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Always do your own due diligence and size positions appropriately for your account.
Trade Idea 01 — Event-Driven
$TTWO — Take-Two Interactive
Current Price: $224.60 | 52-Wk Range: $187.63 – $264.79 | GTA VI Release: Nov 19, 2026
The Thesis
GTA VI launches November 19, 2026 — the biggest game launch in commercial history. TTWO is currently on a $20 dip after post-earnings selling despite a beat-and-raise quarter. BofA maintains a $320 price target with a Buy rating, calling the FY2027 guidance "very very conservative." The pre-GTA runup playbook is simple: the stock historically rallies hard in the 6 months leading into a major release. We're now in that window.
Contracts We Like
| Contract | Notes |
| Sep $250C | Near-term GTA VI runup play |
| Mar 2027 $300C | Post-launch continuation — BofA PT $320 |
| Ideal Entry | $215 – $220 on continued weakness |
| Price Target (Sep) | $255 – $265 into GTA VI hype peak |
| Price Target (Mar 27) | $290 – $320 post-launch |
| Stop / Invalidation | Close below $205 (break of major support) |
⚠ Watch for GTA VI trailer 3 — any announcement is a catalyst. Size small on the Sep contracts, larger on Mar 2027 for the post-launch leg.
Trade Idea 02 — Inside Bar Continuation
$META — Meta Platforms
Current Price: $632.51 | 52-Wk Range: $520.26 – $796.25 | Next Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
The Thesis
Two consecutive inside days holding strong — price is coiling under resistance with buyers defending every dip. Q1 2026 was a blowout: $56.31B revenue, 33.1% YoY growth, EPS beat by 57%. Capex guidance raised to $125–145B signaling extreme AI conviction. 47 Buy ratings, zero Sells. The $700 strike by July 17 is the target if this coil resolves upward — which inside days holding at current levels strongly suggest.
Contract We Like
| Contract | 7/17 $700C |
| Ideal Entry | Current levels $630–$640 or dip to $620 |
| Price Target | $700 – $720 into July expiry |
| Stop / Invalidation | Daily close below $610 (below inside bar low) |
⚠ Inside bar pattern needs a bullish resolution candle to confirm. If market sells off hard, wait for $615–$620 as a better entry before the Jul 29 earnings catalyst.
Trade Idea 03 — Breakout Setup
$RBLX — Roblox
Current Price: $47.14 | 52-Wk Range: $40.15 – $150.59 | Market Cap: $33.74B
The Thesis
Roblox is building toward a breakout. The company launched a $3B share buyback program — a bullish signal for a name that historically doesn't repurchase. 111M+ daily active users, high double-digit revenue growth, and coiling price action near a key level. A break and hold above $50 opens the door to the $60 target on the Oct 16 call. The setup is "breakout imminent" — we want confirmation before entry, not anticipation.
Contract We Like
| Contract | Oct 16 $60C |
| Ideal Entry | On confirmed breakout above $50 with volume |
| Price Target | $58 – $65 into October expiry |
| Stop / Invalidation | Breakout fails, closes back below $48 |
⚠ Do NOT enter this before a confirmed breakout candle with above-average volume. False breakouts on RBLX have been painful. Wait for the move, then enter.
Trade Idea 04 — Dip Entry Needed
$MSFT — Microsoft
Current Price: $449.99 | 52-Wk Range: $356.28 – $555.45 | P/E: 25.4x
The Thesis
$37B AI cloud run rate. 25.4x P/E — the cheapest it's been among Mag 7 names. 19% below its 52-week high. MSFT is not a short — it's a "wait for red days and buy 2 months out" situation. We don't chase it at $450 after a big green day. We want a pullback to $420–$435 to get a cleaner entry with better risk/reward on the calls.
Contract We Like — WAITING FOR DIP
| Strategy | 2 months out calls on red days |
| Ideal Entry Zone | $420 – $435 on a red day or two |
| Target Strikes | $470C – $490C Aug/Sep expiry |
| Price Target | $480 – $510 over 8–10 weeks |
| Stop / Invalidation | Close below $410 after entry |
⚠ This is a patience trade. Do NOT enter after the recent green day surge. We want 2–3 red days that bring it back toward the $420–$435 zone. Then we buy calls 2 months out.
Trade Idea 05 — Dip Entry Needed
$NOW — ServiceNow
Current Price: $123.51 | 52-Wk Range: $81.24 – $211.48 | Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
The Thesis
Ripped 12.7% on May 29 off the Snowflake/Dell AI conviction wave. Same as MSFT — we don't chase this after a big move. We want red days that bring it back toward $115–$118. The July 21 earnings date is a hard catalyst. We buy calls 2 months out on weakness so we have earnings coverage and plenty of time for the stock to recover. $30B+ revenue target by 2030 confirmed at investor day. 43 Strong Buy ratings.
Contract We Like — WAITING FOR DIP
| Strategy | 2 months out calls on red days |
| Ideal Entry Zone | $115 – $118 on 1–2 red days |
| Target Strikes | $130C – $140C Aug expiry (covers Jul 21 earnings) |
| Price Target | $145 – $160 into earnings and beyond |
| Stop / Invalidation | Close below $110 after entry |
⚠ Same rule as MSFT — patience. After a 12.7% single-day rip, we need a pullback to get good premium. Red days are the opportunity here, not green ones.
Trade Idea 06 — Long-Term Positions Started
$NFLX — Netflix
Current Price: $86.02 | 52-Wk Range: $75.01 – $134.12 | Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
The Thesis
Positions already started. NFLX is 36% off its 52-week high, sitting near its 52-week low of $75.01 with a EBITDA margin of 66.65% and 325M+ subscribers. Q1 2026 EPS beat by 55.7%. Average analyst PT is $114.56 — 33% upside from current. NFL partnership + advertising business on track for ~$3B in 2026. The WBD acquisition termination sentiment has been priced in. This is a long-term multi-leg trade — Sept, Dec, and Jan expirations to stay in it without getting time-crushed.
Contracts We Like — POSITIONS STARTED
| Sep Calls | $95C – $100C (earnings Jul 16 catalyst) |
| Dec Calls | $105C – $110C (full H2 recovery play) |
| Jan Calls | $115C – $120C (long-term conviction leg) |
| Add-to Zone | $80 – $83 if offered (near 52-wk low) |
| Price Target (Sep) | $100 – $108 post-earnings |
| Price Target (Jan) | $115 – $125 (avg analyst PT $114.56) |
| Stop / Invalidation | Weekly close below $74 (below 52-wk low) |
⚠ Positions already started — this is a staged entry strategy. We will look to add on any dip to $80–$83. The July 16 earnings date is a near-term catalyst that could re-rate the stock.
Trade Idea 07 — Power Infrastructure Breakout
$FPS — Forgent Power Solutions
Current Price: ~$51.90 | 52-Wk Range: $25.95 – $51.00 | Analyst PT: $56 – $63
The Thesis
FPS just broke above its 52-week high of $51 on May 29 — now trading in fresh territory. Q2 FY2026 delivered a 268% surge in bookings with a book-to-bill ratio of 2.6x, backlog doubled to $1.5B. Data center power infrastructure is the real AI trade right now. KeyBanc PT $60, TD Cowen PT $63, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs both Buy rated. We want to buy a 1–2 day dip and use August calls to capture the next leg up.
Contract We Like
| Contracts | Aug $65C – $70C |
| Ideal Entry | 1–2 day dip to $48 – $50 (retest breakout zone) |
| Price Target | $60 – $65 (analyst consensus PT) |
| Stop / Invalidation | Close back below $46 (failed breakout) |
⚠ Breaking all-time high territory. Wait for the 1–2 day consolidation dip to retest the $48–$50 old resistance-now-support zone before entering. Don't chase the breakout candle.
Trade Idea 08 — AI Infrastructure
$CRWV — CoreWeave
Current Price: $109.53 | 52-Wk Range: $63.80 – $187.00 | Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
The Thesis
CoreWeave is the AI infrastructure cloud play — purpose-built GPU compute for AI training and inference. META just handed them $21B in contracts. EBITDA $3B at 47.5% margin. 52-week high $187 — trading 42% below that at $109. Beta of 2.35 means this moves hard in both directions. We want the $105 ideal entry zone as starters before building into the July 17 $120C. Target $117–$120 near-term, $140+ into August earnings on the continuation play.
Contract We Like
| Contract | Jul 17 $120C |
| Ideal Entry (starters) | $105 – $107 (ideal starter zone) |
| Current Price Entry | $109 acceptable as partial entry |
| Near-Term Target | $117 – $120 (Jul 17 expiry target) |
| Continuation Target | $135 – $145 into Aug 18 earnings |
| Stop / Invalidation | Close below $99 (structural support) |
⚠ High beta — CRWV moves 3–5% in a session regularly. Start with small size at $105–$107, add if it holds and builds. Don't go full size into a volatile name on one entry. Insider selling is elevated so size appropriately.
Quick Reference
All 8 Setups At a Glance
| Ticker |
Status |
Entry Zone |
| $TTWO |
Dip Entry |
$215 – $220 |
| $META |
Active Watch |
$630 – $640 / $620 dip |
| $RBLX |
Breakout Watch |
Confirm above $50 |
| $MSFT |
Wait for Dip |
$420 – $435 |
| $NOW |
Wait for Dip |
$115 – $118 |
| $NFLX |
Positions Started |
Add $80 – $83 |
| $FPS |
Dip After Breakout |
$48 – $50 |
| $CRWV |
Starters OK |
$105 ideal / $109 partial |
|