Conviction & Play of The Week

The market doesn't reward noise, instead it rewards patience, preparation, and execution.

This week’s focus is simple:

- One high-conviction play of the week

- A clear plan for adding on weakness to our long-term 2026 names

No overtrading, no chasing, just structure.

Play of the Week: $OKLO Grabbed Mar 20 $100C

$OKLO continues to stand out as a high-volatility name with asymmetric potential.

The thesis here isn’t about predicting every tick, it’s about recognizing:

- Elevated volatility

- Strong thematic interest (energy, nuclear, AI-adjacent power demand)

- A name that can move fast when sentiment shifts

This makes $OKLO ideal for:

- Tactical exposure

- Defined-risk structures

- Opportunistic positioning when price pulls back or consolidates

We’re not chasing strength, we’re watching for controlled entries, especially after short-term exhaustion or pullbacks.

The goal with our “Play of the Week” isn’t marriage, it’s execution.

Our 2026 Core Picks

While short-term trades come and go, long-term positioning is built during red days, not green ones.

Our plan remains consistent:

Add on -3% or larger down days in high-conviction names.

Why?

- Emotional selling creates opportunity

- Volatility gives better entries

- You reduce the risk of chasing tops

Here’s how we’re thinking about each name:

➙ $RIVN

High-beta, sentiment-driven, and prone to sharp swings. Pullbacks of 3%+ often reflect market noise, not long-term fundamentals. These dips are opportunities to build exposure slowly rather than reacting emotionally.

➙ $OSCR

A volatility-prone name with a longer runway. Sharp down days frequently come from broad market pressure rather than company-specific deterioration. For patient investors, these moments offer better risk-reward entries.

➙ $ZETA

A name we continue to view as misunderstood. Short-term drawdowns don’t change the long-term thesis. In fact, weakness often provides a chance to position ahead of future narrative and multiple expansion.

➙ $PATH

Execution-driven, sentiment-sensitive, and cyclical. Large red days tend to overprice near-term fear. Accumulating on weakness keeps the cost basis disciplined while respecting volatility.

The Rule That Keeps Us Disciplined

We don’t buy because something feels cheap we buy because price gives us better odds.

That’s why:

- We avoid green-day chasing

- We scale in, not all-in

- We let volatility work for us, not against us

This week’s approach is straightforward:

- $OKLO → Tactical focus, defined risk

- $RIVN, $OSCR, $ZETA, $PATH → Accumulate on -3%+ pullbacks

No prediction, no panic, just a plan and consistency compounds.

Learning is better together.
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